OMB Meeting Book - January 8, 2015

60

798 M C C LURE & L EE : J OURNAL OF AOAC I NTERNATIONAL V OL . 89, N O . 3, 2006

2

L 2

Data Analysis

n

r

mean ( ) and variance

,

i.e.,

V y

nL

To obtain the sample estimate of the repeatability and reproducibility variances s s r R 2 2 and , respectively, the data from the CRM are analyzed to obtain the mean squares reflecting the "among-laboratories" and “within-laboratory” variations. Using an analysis of variance (ANOVA) technique for analyzing the data, the sample mean for the i th laboratory

y N V y ~ , . In establishing the independence of s R and y , we direct attention to the work of Stuart et al. (5), who have shown the mean, “among-groups” and “within-groups” sums of squares, which are analogous to our mean y , “among-laboratories” sum of squares ( SS L ) and “within-laboratory” sum of squares ( SS r ), are statistically independent under the CRM, and, hence, the mean y and reproducibility standard deviation 100p% One-Tailed Upper Limits for Future Sample RSD R Values In approximating the distribution of the sample RSD R , we want the probability that the sample RSD R is less than the p th percentile value p to equal p , i.e., Pr or Pr RSD p s y p R p R p 0 . Here we note that the variable z s y R p in the probability statement Pr 0 s y p R p is approximately normally distributed with mean E z R p and variance V z V s V y R p 2 . because it is known that a linear function of a normal and an approximately normal variable will usually deviate less from the normal distribution than the distribution of the ratio of the 2 variables (2). Substituting the variances V s V y V z R and into , we obtained the following: We chose the variable z s y R p s s SS Ln SS n L R R r L 2 l are independent.

n

L n

y

y

ij

ij

1

l l

and the sample grand mean

are

y

y

i

nL

n

used in computing the “among-laboratories” mean square

n

L

2

2

2

MS

y y s ns

L

i

r

L

l 1

L

and the “within-laboratory” mean square

l

L n

2

2

MS

y y

s

r

ij

i

r

L n

1

l

1

The sample reproducibility variance

l

2

2

2

s

MS MS MS s s

R

L

r

r

r

L

n

is an estimate of the population reproducibility variance

2

2

2 . The sample reproducibility standard

R

r

L

2

2

) is the square root of s s

and is an

deviation ( s R

s

R R

R

estimate of the population reproducibility standard deviation

2

2 2

p 2

4

n

l

n

l

r

L

s

r

2

L 2

V z

n

R is an estimate of the population

). The sample RSD

( R

r

2

2

2

nL

2

l

n L

n L

R

y

R

R , where

relative reproducibility standard deviation R

Hence, we obtained

is the population mean.

s

y V z

R

p

R

p

R

p

Pr

s

y

0

Pr

R

p

1 2 /

1 2 /

V z

Statistical Distribution and Independence of s R and y

p

R

p

In developing a formula for p

, it is important to establish

1 2/

Var z

that the distribution and independence of s R and y exist. In an earlier paper, McClure and Lee (1) detailed the derivation of the asymptotic distribution of s R , assuming that the reproducibility variance s R 2 was approximately normally

where

represents the cumulative standard normal

p

R

distribution. Therefore,

, where z p

is the

z

p

1 2/

V z

R 2

and variance V s R 2

, i.e.,

distributed (~) with mean

abscissa on the standard normal curve that cuts off an area p in the upper tail. Substituting the expression for V(z) in the above formula, we have

s N V s R R R 2 2 2 ~ ,

, by finding V s R 2

and applying the

-method (3, 4). Thus, the distribution of s R

is asymptotically

) and variance

, i.e.,

normal with mean ( R

V s

R

p

R

p

R

z

p

% & # '# 1 2/

1 2 /

! " # $#

V z

, where

s N V s R R R ~ ,

2

2

2 2

4

n

n

1

1

p

r

L

2

L 2

r

n

2

r

2

L 2

2

2

2

n L

n L

2

l

nL

n

l

l

n

R

r

4

. Also, based on the

V s

R

r

2

2

2

2

l

n L

n L

R

Performing some algebra on the right-most expression above, we obtained the following:

y is normally distributed with a

CRM, the sample mean

29

Recommended to OMB by Committee on Statistics: 07-17-2013 Reviewed and approved by OMB: 07-18-2013

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